Published at 2nd of May 2021 04:05:06 PM

"Mr. Jing?" Feng suddenly understood the meaning of the name, "Oh Is Hualian (Jingjing is usually called Hualian in Beijing opera. ZHENGJING, deputy Jingjing and Wujing correspond to dahualian, Erhualian and wuhualian / wuerhua)

"Don't be poor with me." Mr. Jing was surprised that brother Jue got the meaning of his address, but he didn't intend to continue to talk about it with the other party, "what do you call it? Crow's beak? "

"Yes." Feng didn't realize that he was very open-minded and smiled, "just call me" crow mouth. "

"Hum..." Mr. Jing snorted, "well, I'm going to work out the problem now, crow mouth."

As he spoke, he had picked up the paper and pen in front of him.

"Please." Feng can't feel holding a drink and standing on the table with one elbow (the height of the cart is about 1.25 meters and the height is within the average range. As long as the body is leaning forward, the adult can rest on the table with his elbow), which is very easy to answer.

According to the rules, the game of guessing numbers is divided into two games. In the first game, the Challenger calls the note and guesses the solution, while the challenger is responsible for the problem.

In each game, there are "two parts" that need to be noted:

the first part - "Declaration" by the guessing party, guess the correct answer within "several rounds", and then the party making the note according to the number of rounds given by the other party. The minimum amount of the note shall not be less than 1% of the total amount of money held at the beginning of this duel; the note after this call is fixed, guessing Party B can't make further filling and must follow up.

For example For example, the declaration of guessing solution party can guess the answer within "five rounds". Obviously, the probability of such a thing is almost equal to zero; at this time, the author will definitely call for the maximum amount of money he can call directly, and the Challenger must follow up (in the case of less money than the other side, refer to the provisions 2 mentioned by the organizer, put all the money on, and continue to fight).

Then, when the game is "completely over". According to the final number of rounds, the two sides will settle the cost again.

Of course, this is unlikely to happen

Because this part of the bet is the part of the bet round. Generally speaking, it is to give money to the guessing party.

As long as the guessing and solving party states an exaggerated figure of "one hundred rounds" or even "one thousand rounds" in the declaration, it is basically a steady win. So this part of the call note will be called by the author In the face of that number, the author will definitely only call one of the lowest annotation codes he can call.

That is to say, after the victory of this game. As long as the guessing party fails to lose its qualification in the process of duel, it can get back a small sum of money from the problem maker safely when settling accounts.

This setting is mainly set considering that the guessing party is obviously in a disadvantageous position in the confrontation.

Next, look at the "second part" call note:

this part is repeated in the duel process That is to say, every round, the guessing and solving party should make a call for betting. The same The amount of each call for note should not be less than 1% of the upper limit of its holding fund; however, there are two options for the author: first. Second, surrender.

Follow note, of course, is to let the game continue; and "surrender", on behalf of the author conceded defeat, after paying the corresponding fine, the Bureau declared the end.

If the rule of "gambling round" is to protect the guesser, then the rule of "surrender" is naturally to protect the questioner.

Let's give you an example If there is no "surrender" option, then all the guessers can use a very simple tactic to ensure that they win, that is - from the first round, each round only places the minimum amount of bet. Then in the round to make sure that you can guess, put all the money you have left.

In this way, as long as the answer can be guessed in 50 rounds, the guesser will be invincible; this is not included in the amount of "gambling rounds" before the start of each round.

So. There is the surrender setting.

Of course, "surrender" is also limited. Otherwise, the author can use this point to win steadily For example, when the game is in a dozen or twenty rounds, you suddenly surrender and come to see what's good.

In order to prevent this kind of thing from happening, there is "surrender fine".

In this guessing match. There are two kinds of calculation formulas for capitulation penalty -

the first one is applicable to capitulation in the first 20 rounds. The formula is: 10% * (50 + completed rounds)% + 10% of the opponent's bet in the current round + basic penalty at the beginning of this round.

The second is the formula used from the 21st round: 10% * (50 completed rounds)% + 10% of the bet amount of the opponent in this round + basic penalty.

The so-called "basic penalty" is divided according to the number of current rounds. The basic penalty for surrender in rounds 1-10 is 5% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the confrontation in this bureau. The basic penalty for surrender in rounds 11-20 is 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the confrontation in this bureau. In rounds 21-30, it will rise to 20% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the confrontation in this bureau Starting from the 31st round, the basic fine will return to zero.

Let's take another example At the beginning of a duel, both sides held 100000 US dollars, and the guessing and solving party bet 1% in each round, and lost 30000 US dollars in total after 30 rounds. Then, in the thirty first round, he had the certainty of winning, at this time, he put the remaining 70000 US dollars on the whole.

As it turns out, the question makers choose to surrender At this time, the fine that the examinee needs to pay is 10% of 100000 US dollars multiplied by 20 (50-30)%, that is 2000 US dollars Plus 10% of the other side's bet this round, which is $7000 Plus the basic penalty of zero, a total of 9000 dollars will be handed over.

Although it's nine thousand at a time, it's much better than seventy thousand.

In a word, when the examinee chose to surrender, the contest ended. In the above example, the result is that the examinee won $21000 from the guessing party.

After the completion of this part of settlement, both parties will carry out the settlement of "bet back total". Suppose that the guessing party declared "within one hundred rounds" and the solving party called the lowest $1000, then At this time, the author will give 1000 US dollars to the guessing and solving party, and finally the net score will be 20000.

The above is the general scenario that the author chooses the time of surrender through the behavior of "guessing the solution and improving the code".

So Under the same conditions. What if the questioner chooses the tactics of "accept as soon as possible"?

I will not list the detailed calculation process here. Let's see the results directly According to the condition that both sides have 100000 US dollars and the guesser bet 1000 each time, if the questioner surrenders in the first round (note that the extra percentage of the first round is 50 + 0). Instead of 50 + 1), lose 10100, the second round is 10200, and then increase $100 for each round until the tenth round.

That is to say. In any of the first ten rounds of surrender, the questioner loses money.

At the beginning of the 11th round, due to the improvement of the basic fine, the fine for surrender in this round jumped to 16100, and then each round was increased by 100; in this way, in the 18th round, the author would have the opportunity to "accept as soon as possible". In this round of surrender, the fine was 16800, while the amount earned in the previous 17 rounds was 17000. That's 200, but Don't forget the money for the "bet round". If you add that in, you'd better pay So we have to wait another round. In the 19th round, we will earn 18000 yuan, 16900 yuan in fines and 1000 yuan in gambling rounds. At this time, we will earn 100 yuan

Therefore, in the first 20 rounds, we want to "win steadily". There are only two chances, that is to surrender in the 19th round and the 20th round. According to the formula, the former can earn 100. The latter can earn 1000

But It's hard for you to be a problem solver, and make a thousand and it's over? Don't forget that this game is "preemptive". It doesn't mean you can get out without losing money.

So let's look at the start of the twenty-first round again

At the beginning of this round, the formula changed, but the basic fine also increased again. The fine for the twenty-first round of surrender is 23100. 100 per round since then; obviously From this round on, the capitulation mechanism began to tend to protect the examinees. Because after twenty rounds, the probability of guessing the answer is higher and higher.

In this way, the "25th round" will be a watershed if the 1000 of the gambling round is included; the fine of this round is 22700, plus the 1000 of the gambling round, which is 23700, but the money won by the author It's 24000; of course, it's only 300, so that's not the point

The point is that from this round, the winning amount of the sudden surrender of the examinee will be increased by 1100 dollars every round.

After six rounds, in the thirty first round, when the "basic fine" was set to zero, the number of the examinees suddenly increased by 20000. In this round, if the guessing and solving party doesn't raise the price, the penalty for the author's direct surrender is only $2100, and the money he has won at the moment is 30000. Even if the money from the gambling round is removed, he will make a net profit of 26900

To sum up, the key battle of the number guessing game is between the 25th and 30th rounds If the guesser can't guess the right answer before the thirty first round, the questioner can earn 29% of your chips as long as he or she surrenders immediately. Even if you guessed it in the thirty first round, he or she can only recover about 10% of the loss.

Of course, although I have said a lot, they are just theories.

In the actual confrontation, all kinds of situations are possible

Maybe someone can guess the answer within twenty-five rounds; maybe someone can raise the chips to put pressure without guessing it; maybe someone will force to raise the chips when they think they are right, or when they are watching thirty rounds, but the other party sees through and follows

On the gambling table, fraud, calculation, performance, insight Anything can happen.

In the world of gambling, probability will not respect you, and the God of luck does not exist.

It is better to pray ten thousand times for luck than to hone the skill ten thousand times have achieved.

The weak will be defeated, swallowed, crushed And won't get any sympathy.

Win, and live Is the only justice in the world.

A minute later, Mr. Jing had written six numbers on the paper in front of him.

Then he folded the paper, carefully protected it with his hand, and handed it to the man in the suit Sunglasses beside the cart.